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Red73
815923.2
76616.3
97231.5
Blue80
19910.5
97816.7
167858.4
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions727440506080901001107380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#8
31.50.4
26.026.4
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End2.5
blue by 26.9
58.40.9
52.253.1
Auto20.6
Teleop29.9
End7.8
Second
8159
#29
23.20.4
26.326.7
Auto11.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
red by 12.7
199
#51
10.50.9
7.07.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Third
766
#46
16.30.4
12.913.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
red by 9.6
9781
#38
6.71.5
7.18.6
Auto4.9
Teleop0.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
82%Melody oddsEarned74%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsMissed