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Red69
960929.4
77297.0
84136.9
Blue44
170015.4
499014.1
681411.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8534020601001201406944

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#12
36.91.1
33.932.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End2.4
red by 21.5
1700
#25
15.40.2
14.714.9
Auto6.4
Teleop7.8
End1.3
Second
29.41.1
29.027.9
Auto8.7
Teleop19.1
End1.6
red by 15.3
4990
#44
14.10.2
13.713.9
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End2.2
Third
7729
#58
7.01.9
7.96.0
Auto1.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
blue by 4.9
6814
#42
11.90.2
8.58.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed