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Red27
885222.0
490415.4
95199.9
Blue103
58140.0
741918.3
527420.6
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4190020608010012014027103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8852
#16
22.01.0
19.018.0
Auto9.3
Teleop10.6
End2.1
blue by 18.0
581
#7
40.01.2
37.838.9
Auto16.0
Teleop19.2
End4.9
Second
4904
#34
15.41.0
13.112.0
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End1.5
blue by 5.2
5274
#20
20.61.2
18.819.9
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End2.8
Third
9519
#60
9.91.7
10.58.7
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
blue by 8.4
7419
#37
18.31.2
19.020.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed47%Ensemble oddsEarned