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Red18
91117.8
598514.7
623812.0
Blue71
541936.5
285421.7
543010.1
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357202060801001201401601871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#27
14.71.2
15.314.1
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5
blue by 21.7
36.50.7
35.636.2
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End5.9
Second
6238
#56
12.01.2
13.712.5
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End0.5
blue by 9.7
2854
#23
21.70.7
19.820.4
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Third
9111
#40
7.81.2
7.36.1
Auto1.2
Teleop6.0
End0.6
blue by 2.2
5430
#33
10.10.7
5.66.3
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed29%Ensemble oddsEarned