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Red54
903813.9
64925.4
304526.3
Blue73
11441.8
947012.6
469832.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649502040801201405473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3045
#15
26.30.6
24.323.7
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End1.7
blue by 15.5
114
#4
41.81.0
39.138.2
Auto11.3
Teleop26.3
End4.2
Second
649
#13
25.40.6
25.424.8
Auto10.4
Teleop14.2
End0.8
blue by 6.9
32.21.0
29.528.6
Auto13.2
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Third
9038
#22
13.90.6
11.711.1
Auto8.3
Teleop5.3
End0.2
red by 1.3
9470
#43
12.61.0
13.612.7
Auto7.8
Teleop4.4
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned94%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed70%Ensemble oddsMissed