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Red96
7518.8
25457.6
116018.2
Blue37
87937.8
415914.9
784011.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99220501509637

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#1
57.61.1
54.055.1
Auto17.0
Teleop33.3
End7.3
red by 42.7
4159
#21
14.90.5
12.813.4
Auto2.5
Teleop11.3
End1.1
Second
1160
#48
18.21.1
17.919.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.3
red by 6.7
7840
#55
11.60.5
10.210.8
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Third
751
#31
8.81.1
8.29.3
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
red by 1.0
8793
#50
7.80.5
5.86.4
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
51%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed