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Red30
499014.1
920210.2
688410.6
Blue100
167858.4
681411.9
348214.6
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions298902040608010012014030100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4990
#44
14.10.2
13.913.7
Auto5.2
Teleop6.6
End2.2
blue by 44.3
58.41.8
53.154.9
Auto20.6
Teleop29.9
End7.8
Second
6884
#57
10.60.2
9.99.7
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End2.4
blue by 3.9
3482
#19
14.61.8
11.213.0
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
Third
9202
#59
10.20.4
9.59.1
Auto2.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
blue by 1.6
6814
#42
11.91.8
8.710.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed89%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed52%Ensemble oddsEarned