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Red46
84136.9
19910.5
60599.1
Blue54
661936.7
96348.0
145818.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions53670204060801001201404654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
841
#12
36.90.3
32.832.5
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End2.4
red by 0.2
6619
#10
36.70.7
32.531.8
Auto13.0
Teleop22.0
End1.6
Second
199
#51
10.50.3
7.97.7
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 8.3
1458
#47
18.80.7
18.818.1
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
Third
6059
#54
9.10.3
9.29.0
Auto4.7
Teleop3.4
End1.0
red by 1.1
9634
#53
8.00.7
7.46.7
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsMissed84%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed