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Red47
7518.8
623812.0
527420.6
Blue59
469832.2
903813.9
543010.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455210203040607080904759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5274
#20
20.60.3
19.919.6
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End2.8
blue by 11.6
32.20.9
28.629.4
Auto13.2
Teleop13.9
End5.1
Second
6238
#56
12.00.3
12.512.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.1
End0.5
blue by 1.9
9038
#22
13.90.9
11.112.0
Auto8.3
Teleop5.3
End0.2
Third
751
#31
8.80.3
9.39.0
Auto2.7
Teleop4.7
End1.4
blue by 1.3
5430
#33
10.10.9
6.37.2
Auto3.5
Teleop4.8
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
41%Melody oddsMissed47%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsMissed