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Red116
594056.4
304526.3
76616.3
Blue54
285421.7
713714.0
784011.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10740020608012014016011654

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.41.4
50.652.0
Auto17.1
Teleop32.1
End7.3
red by 34.7
2854
#23
21.70.4
20.420.8
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Second
3045
#15
26.31.4
23.725.0
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End1.7
red by 12.2
7137
#36
14.00.4
12.913.3
Auto3.8
Teleop7.5
End2.7
Third
766
#46
16.31.4
14.415.7
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
red by 4.8
7840
#55
11.60.4
10.811.2
Auto4.2
Teleop6.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
94%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
57%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed