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Red71
954515.0
681411.9
661936.7
Blue80
97231.5
550722.0
490415.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions616240507080907180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6619
#10
36.71.0
31.832.8
Auto13.0
Teleop22.0
End1.6
red by 5.2
972
#8
31.51.6
25.727.3
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Second
9545
#26
15.01.0
13.214.3
Auto7.8
Teleop6.3
End0.9
blue by 7.1
5507
#14
22.01.6
18.420.0
Auto8.3
Teleop9.0
End4.8
Third
6814
#42
11.91.0
10.511.5
Auto3.8
Teleop7.1
End1.0
blue by 3.6
4904
#34
15.41.6
12.013.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
45%Melody oddsEarned70%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned