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Red43
96348.0
170015.4
80457.9
Blue45
598514.7
688410.6
87937.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3134102040504345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1700
#25
15.40.4
14.214.5
Auto6.4
Teleop7.8
End1.3
red by 0.7
5985
#27
14.70.9
14.115.0
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Second
9634
#53
8.00.4
6.77.1
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 2.6
6884
#57
10.60.9
9.710.5
Auto4.7
Teleop3.5
End2.4
Third
8045
#32
7.90.6
7.38.0
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
red by 0.1
8793
#50
7.80.9
6.47.2
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed