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Red36
26379.8
95199.9
766717.2
Blue55
145818.8
466914.8
19910.5
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344402060803655

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7667
#28
17.20.1
16.516.6
Auto6.4
Teleop9.3
End1.5
blue by 1.6
1458
#47
18.80.8
18.118.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
Second
9519
#60
9.90.2
8.78.9
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
blue by 4.9
4669
#35
14.80.8
12.913.6
Auto8.4
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Third
2637
#39
9.80.1
7.07.2
Auto1.8
Teleop6.3
End1.8
blue by 0.7
199
#51
10.50.8
7.78.4
Auto4.3
Teleop5.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed