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Red40
641822.7
348214.6
74015.8
Blue88
960929.4
815923.2
64925.4
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33930204060801001201401604088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6418
#24
22.70.1
19.819.8
Auto9.4
Teleop11.6
End1.7
blue by 6.7
29.40.9
27.226.3
Auto8.7
Teleop19.1
End1.6
Second
3482
#19
14.60.1
13.012.9
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
blue by 10.8
649
#13
25.40.9
24.823.9
Auto10.4
Teleop14.2
End0.8
Third
7401
#52
5.80.1
4.14.0
Auto3.8
Teleop1.1
End0.8
blue by 17.4
8159
#29
23.20.9
25.124.2
Auto11.1
Teleop10.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
46%Melody oddsMissed87%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsEarned