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Red52
920210.2
97816.7
228828.1
Blue44
116018.2
77297.0
418612.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49350204060801005244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2288
#11
28.10.3
27.427.7
Auto10.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
red by 9.8
1160
#48
18.20.7
19.019.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.3
Second
9202
#59
10.20.5
9.19.6
Auto2.5
Teleop7.3
End0.5
blue by 2.2
4186
#41
12.40.7
10.010.7
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Third
9781
#38
6.70.5
5.96.4
Auto4.9
Teleop0.9
End0.8
blue by 0.3
7729
#58
7.01.2
4.45.6
Auto1.7
Teleop4.9
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed