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Red81
167858.4
96348.0
87937.8
Blue43
95199.9
497311.3
425520.0
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions843402040601001201408143

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.7
55.656.3
Auto20.6
Teleop29.9
End7.8
red by 38.3
4255
#30
20.00.3
18.118.4
Auto3.5
Teleop15.3
End1.2
Second
9634
#53
8.00.7
7.17.8
Auto5.0
Teleop1.9
End1.1
blue by 3.3
4973
#49
11.30.3
9.39.6
Auto3.8
Teleop4.9
End2.5
Third
8793
#50
7.80.7
7.28.0
Auto2.3
Teleop3.8
End1.7
blue by 2.1
9519
#60
9.90.5
8.99.4
Auto4.0
Teleop6.0
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
68%Melody oddsEarned36%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
37%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed