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Red74
97231.5
527420.6
348214.6
Blue36
285421.7
80457.9
466914.8
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704402060801001207436

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#8
31.50.8
27.328.1
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End2.5
red by 9.8
2854
#23
21.70.6
20.820.3
Auto8.0
Teleop12.2
End1.4
Second
5274
#20
20.60.8
19.620.4
Auto5.9
Teleop11.8
End2.8
red by 5.8
4669
#35
14.80.6
13.613.1
Auto8.4
Teleop5.8
End0.6
Third
3482
#19
14.60.8
12.913.7
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End0.6
red by 6.6
8045
#32
7.90.9
8.07.1
Auto4.7
Teleop1.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
86%Melody oddsEarned45%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed