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Red30
145818.8
741918.3
116018.2
Blue64
418612.4
641822.7
64925.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64590501001503064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1458
#47
18.82.0
18.916.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.3
End0.7
blue by 6.5
649
#13
25.40.6
23.924.5
Auto10.4
Teleop14.2
End0.8
Second
7419
#37
18.32.0
19.117.2
Auto6.9
Teleop10.0
End1.4
blue by 4.4
6418
#24
22.70.6
19.820.4
Auto9.4
Teleop11.6
End1.7
Third
1160
#48
18.22.0
19.717.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.3
red by 5.8
4186
#41
12.40.6
10.711.3
Auto5.5
Teleop3.8
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed