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Red80
228828.1
76616.3
325629.2
Blue108
541936.5
598514.7
11441.8
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78105406012014080108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3256
#17
29.20.0
29.129.2
Auto11.2
Teleop15.7
End2.3
blue by 12.7
114
#4
41.80.3
41.341.7
Auto11.3
Teleop26.3
End4.2
Second
2288
#11
28.10.0
28.028.1
Auto10.2
Teleop15.5
End2.3
blue by 8.4
36.50.3
36.036.3
Auto10.3
Teleop20.2
End5.9
Third
766
#46
16.30.0
16.316.3
Auto4.6
Teleop9.8
End1.9
red by 1.6
5985
#27
14.70.3
14.314.6
Auto5.5
Teleop7.7
End1.5