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Red128
167858.4
116018.2
25457.6
Blue112
641822.7
97231.5
84136.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1578850100200128112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.40.1
58.358.1
Auto20.6
Teleop29.9
End7.8
red by 21.5
841
#12
36.90.5
35.736.2
Auto8.3
Teleop26.2
End2.4
Second
254
#1
57.60.1
57.657.4
Auto17.0
Teleop33.3
End7.3
red by 26.2
972
#8
31.50.5
30.330.8
Auto9.4
Teleop19.6
End2.5
Third
1160
#48
18.20.1
18.118.0
Auto5.0
Teleop12.0
End1.3
blue by 4.5
6418
#24
22.70.5
21.522.0
Auto9.4
Teleop11.6
End1.7