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Red93
312829.3
945228.5
29431.5
Blue134
35947.5
441923.6
441439.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9612505015020025093134

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#11
31.50.2
31.931.7
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
blue by 16.0
359
#1
47.50.4
47.147.5
Auto14.8
Teleop27.5
End5.2
Second
29.30.2
29.729.5
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
blue by 10.5
4414
#13
39.80.4
39.439.8
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Third
9452
#29
28.50.2
28.728.5
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End0.2
red by 4.9
4419
#17
23.60.4
23.223.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End1.4