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Red108
940832.5
210233.3
325529.3
Blue154
35947.5
441923.6
441439.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10212150150200108154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#10
33.30.3
33.033.3
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End1.7
blue by 14.1
359
#1
47.50.9
46.147.1
Auto14.8
Teleop27.5
End5.2
Second
9408
#22
32.50.3
32.232.5
Auto7.2
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 7.2
4414
#13
39.80.9
38.439.4
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Third
3255
#23
29.30.3
28.929.3
Auto7.9
Teleop21.5
End-0.2
red by 5.6
4419
#17
23.60.9
22.323.2
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End1.4