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Red47
427621.4
271020.9
927113.4
Blue114
29431.5
961517.2
945228.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions617105010015020025047114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#18
21.41.3
18.016.7
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
blue by 10.1
294
#11
31.52.7
25.127.8
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
Second
2710
#38
20.91.3
18.417.1
Auto8.7
Teleop11.6
End0.6
blue by 7.6
9452
#29
28.52.7
24.827.5
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End0.2
Third
9271
#42
13.41.6
19.718.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 3.8
9615
#32
17.23.3
13.616.9
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
24%Melody oddsMissed40%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsEarned7%Ensemble oddsEarned