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Red50
414124.0
407921.2
622017.4
Blue74
114819.8
39919.1
212232.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68940501505074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4141
#33
24.02.0
24.022.0
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
blue by 8.6
32.61.7
26.324.6
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
4079
#31
21.22.0
18.216.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.9
End-0.0
red by 1.4
1148
#24
19.81.7
29.628.0
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
6220
#37
17.42.4
22.620.2
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 1.7
399
#39
19.11.7
26.124.4
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
79%Melody oddsMissed85%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsMissed