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Red99
69628.6
961517.2
271020.9
Blue52
622017.4
432232.5
39919.1
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions578401001509952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
696
#4
28.62.8
20.323.2
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End-0.2
blue by 3.9
4322
#14
32.51.7
28.626.9
Auto8.0
Teleop21.5
End3.1
Second
2710
#38
20.92.8
17.119.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.6
End0.6
red by 1.8
399
#39
19.11.7
24.422.7
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Third
9615
#32
17.23.2
16.920.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End0.7
blue by 0.2
6220
#37
17.41.9
20.218.3
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned60%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed