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Red93
347629.7
49831.7
888813.1
Blue91
940832.5
6020.2
441439.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions691020501509391

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#5
31.70.8
22.122.9
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
blue by 8.1
4414
#13
39.81.1
39.838.7
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Second
3476
#19
29.70.8
27.428.2
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End4.7
blue by 2.9
9408
#22
32.51.1
32.431.3
Auto7.2
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Third
8888
#36
13.11.0
16.717.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 7.1
60
#30
20.21.1
16.515.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
52%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsMissed