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Red85
59728.3
519940.3
119728.2
Blue58
388229.3
513723.7
330919.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101852040601201401601808558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.30.3
41.040.7
Auto9.8
Teleop25.9
End4.7
red by 11.0
3882
#12
29.31.4
26.925.6
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
Second
597
#20
28.30.3
25.325.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End2.1
red by 4.6
5137
#34
23.71.4
24.923.5
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End0.3
Third
1197
#25
28.20.3
23.623.2
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
red by 8.7
3309
#35
19.51.4
26.725.3
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
37%Melody oddsEarned91%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
30%Ensemble oddsMissed48%Ensemble oddsMissed