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Red77
265815.1
388229.3
473836.2
Blue115
49831.7
29431.5
715736.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92875060708010011012013077115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#15
36.20.6
40.239.5
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End2.5
red by 0.2
36.12.4
28.330.7
Auto14.2
Teleop20.9
End1.0
Second
3882
#12
29.30.6
25.624.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
blue by 2.4
498
#5
31.72.4
22.925.3
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Third
2658
#40
15.10.6
16.816.1
Auto9.6
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 16.4
294
#11
31.52.4
27.830.2
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
66%Melody oddsMissed71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed