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Red55
427621.4
945228.5
441526.6
Blue86
312829.3
888813.1
119728.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817140601001201405586

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9452
#29
28.51.2
27.526.3
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End0.2
blue by 0.8
29.31.3
24.323.1
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
Second
4415
#16
26.61.2
28.427.2
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
blue by 1.6
1197
#25
28.21.3
23.221.9
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Third
4276
#18
21.41.2
16.715.5
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
red by 8.3
8888
#36
13.11.4
17.616.2
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed62%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned