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Red111
35947.5
519940.3
704221.3
Blue76
59728.3
583515.0
347629.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1166905010015020011176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
359
#1
47.50.8
35.636.4
Auto14.8
Teleop27.5
End5.2
red by 17.8
3476
#19
29.70.2
28.228.4
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Second
40.30.8
40.741.5
Auto9.8
Teleop25.9
End4.7
red by 12.0
597
#20
28.30.2
25.025.2
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End2.1
Third
7042
#27
21.30.8
23.324.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
red by 6.3
5835
#26
15.00.2
14.714.9
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned40%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
79%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed