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Red92
212232.6
699535.0
940832.5
Blue66
114819.8
927113.4
441439.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97930501509266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.3
31.832.1
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
blue by 4.8
4414
#13
39.82.1
38.736.6
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Second
32.60.3
24.624.9
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 12.9
1148
#24
19.82.1
28.025.9
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
9408
#22
32.50.3
31.331.6
Auto7.2
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 19.1
9271
#42
13.42.3
18.215.9
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
72%Melody oddsEarned50%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
47%Ensemble oddsMissed64%Ensemble oddsEarned