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Red92
388229.3
69628.6
583515.0
Blue88
212232.6
6020.2
119728.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70686065758085909288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3882
#12
29.31.9
24.926.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
blue by 3.3
32.61.4
24.926.3
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
696
#4
28.61.9
23.225.1
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End-0.2
red by 0.4
1197
#25
28.21.4
21.923.4
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Third
5835
#26
15.01.9
14.916.8
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 5.2
60
#30
20.21.4
15.016.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
57%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed27%Ensemble oddsMissed