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Red70
330919.5
325529.3
69628.6
Blue46
407921.2
961517.2
888813.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions954801507046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#23
29.31.0
28.827.8
Auto7.9
Teleop21.5
End-0.2
red by 8.0
4079
#31
21.20.5
16.115.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.9
End-0.0
Second
696
#4
28.61.0
25.124.1
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End-0.2
red by 11.4
9615
#32
17.20.5
17.617.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
3309
#35
19.51.0
26.225.2
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.2
red by 6.4
8888
#36
13.10.5
15.114.6
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsMissed37%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
16%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed