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Red59
704221.3
210233.3
347629.7
Blue97
212232.6
29431.5
414124.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8383506070901001105997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2102
#10
33.31.1
26.025.0
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End1.7
red by 0.7
32.61.4
26.327.7
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
Second
3476
#19
29.71.1
26.125.0
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End4.7
blue by 1.8
294
#11
31.51.4
27.929.3
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
Third
7042
#27
21.31.1
22.821.7
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
blue by 2.8
4141
#33
24.01.4
21.222.6
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed83%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed