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Red70
265926.0
940832.5
441923.6
Blue88
441526.6
699535.0
441439.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81110501001507088

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9408
#22
32.50.4
31.631.2
Auto7.2
Teleop24.0
End1.4
blue by 7.2
4414
#13
39.80.5
36.636.1
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Second
2659
#21
26.00.4
24.824.4
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End4.3
blue by 9.0
35.00.5
32.131.6
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Third
4419
#17
23.60.4
19.919.5
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End1.4
blue by 3.0
4415
#16
26.60.5
27.226.7
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed68%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
28%Ensemble oddsMissed56%Ensemble oddsEarned