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Red35
441923.6
312829.3
927113.4
Blue64
388229.3
271020.9
6020.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions637102040801001201403564

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.31.5
22.921.4
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
blue by 0.1
3882
#12
29.30.1
26.926.9
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
Second
4419
#17
23.61.5
19.518.0
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End1.4
red by 2.7
2710
#38
20.90.1
19.819.9
Auto8.7
Teleop11.6
End0.6
Third
9271
#42
13.41.5
15.614.0
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End0.6
blue by 6.8
60
#30
20.20.1
16.416.4
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed42%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsMissed30%Ensemble oddsMissed