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Red73
622017.4
68722.4
699535.0
Blue141
427621.4
432232.5
715736.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions828460709010011012013014073141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.0
31.630.6
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
blue by 1.1
36.13.2
31.935.0
Auto14.2
Teleop20.9
End1.0
Second
687
#28
22.41.0
25.925.0
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End0.5
blue by 10.1
4322
#14
32.53.2
25.829.0
Auto8.0
Teleop21.5
End3.1
Third
6220
#37
17.41.0
19.018.0
Auto3.0
Teleop12.9
End1.5
blue by 4.0
4276
#18
21.43.2
15.919.0
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsMissed25%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
18%Ensemble oddsMissed38%Ensemble oddsEarned