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Red86
441439.8
583515.0
119728.2
Blue74
441526.6
364726.4
49831.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8384607080901001108674

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#13
39.80.2
36.136.3
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
red by 8.1
498
#5
31.70.7
24.023.2
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
Second
1197
#25
28.20.2
23.423.5
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
red by 1.6
4415
#16
26.60.7
26.725.9
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
Third
5835
#26
15.00.2
16.817.0
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 11.4
26.40.7
24.423.6
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned