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Red69
325529.3
271020.9
888813.1
Blue97
699535.0
414124.0
513723.7
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68810501001502006997

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#23
29.30.1
27.827.9
Auto7.9
Teleop21.5
End-0.2
blue by 5.7
35.01.7
30.632.3
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
Second
2710
#38
20.90.1
19.920.0
Auto8.7
Teleop11.6
End0.6
blue by 3.1
4141
#33
24.01.7
22.624.4
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
Third
8888
#36
13.10.1
14.614.7
Auto6.4
Teleop5.9
End0.8
blue by 10.6
5137
#34
23.71.7
18.219.9
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsMissed63%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed