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Red116
49831.7
312829.3
388229.3
Blue96
940832.5
347629.7
364726.4
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83815060709010011011696

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
498
#5
31.72.0
23.225.3
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
blue by 0.8
9408
#22
32.51.1
28.629.7
Auto7.2
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Second
3882
#12
29.32.0
26.929.0
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
blue by 0.3
3476
#19
29.71.1
25.026.1
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Third
29.32.0
21.423.4
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
red by 2.9
26.41.1
23.624.8
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
67%Melody oddsEarned19%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsEarned23%Ensemble oddsMissed