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Red40
59728.3
441526.6
85214.8
Blue89
210233.3
271020.9
407921.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6968204060801001204089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
597
#20
28.31.5
27.526.0
Auto7.8
Teleop18.4
End2.1
blue by 5.0
2102
#10
33.31.3
26.427.7
Auto9.6
Teleop22.0
End1.7
Second
4415
#16
26.61.5
27.425.9
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
red by 5.4
4079
#31
21.21.3
14.916.2
Auto6.3
Teleop14.9
End-0.0
Third
8521
#41
4.81.5
7.25.7
Auto0.9
Teleop2.8
End1.1
blue by 16.1
2710
#38
20.91.3
20.021.3
Auto8.7
Teleop11.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed