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Red93
325529.3
6020.2
583515.0
Blue69
414124.0
119728.2
265815.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6867606570758085909369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#23
29.31.8
27.929.7
Auto7.9
Teleop21.5
End-0.2
red by 1.1
1197
#25
28.20.5
22.823.3
Auto13.6
Teleop12.5
End2.0
Second
60
#30
20.21.8
16.218.0
Auto6.8
Teleop12.2
End1.2
blue by 3.9
4141
#33
24.00.5
24.424.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
Third
5835
#26
15.01.8
16.918.7
Auto7.3
Teleop6.6
End1.1
blue by 0.1
2658
#40
15.10.5
13.814.4
Auto9.6
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned32%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed