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Red125
212232.6
441439.8
49831.7
Blue88
312829.3
945228.5
39919.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037105015012588

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#13
39.82.4
35.237.5
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
red by 10.5
29.30.8
23.424.2
Auto9.4
Teleop17.8
End2.1
Second
32.62.4
29.231.5
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 4.1
9452
#29
28.50.8
25.726.6
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End0.2
Third
498
#5
31.72.4
25.327.6
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
red by 12.5
399
#39
19.10.8
19.420.2
Auto5.7
Teleop12.1
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned14%Ensemble oddsMissed