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Red85
961517.2
699535.0
265926.0
Blue114
347629.7
519940.3
388229.3
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510605015085114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.00.9
32.333.2
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
blue by 5.4
40.31.4
37.639.0
Auto9.8
Teleop25.9
End4.7
Second
2659
#21
26.00.9
23.324.2
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End4.3
blue by 3.7
3476
#19
29.71.4
26.127.5
Auto6.7
Teleop18.3
End4.7
Third
9615
#32
17.20.9
16.117.0
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End0.7
blue by 12.1
3882
#12
29.31.4
29.030.4
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
38%Melody oddsEarned55%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
40%Ensemble oddsMissed65%Ensemble oddsEarned