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Red129
940832.5
69628.6
715736.1
Blue102
513723.7
427621.4
35947.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102834060120140160129102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.12.1
35.637.7
Auto14.2
Teleop20.9
End1.0
blue by 11.4
359
#1
47.51.5
37.839.3
Auto14.8
Teleop27.5
End5.2
Second
9408
#22
32.52.1
29.731.8
Auto7.2
Teleop24.0
End1.4
red by 8.8
5137
#34
23.71.5
19.921.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.4
End0.3
Third
696
#4
28.62.1
24.927.0
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End-0.2
red by 7.2
4276
#18
21.41.5
19.821.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned53%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsMissed45%Ensemble oddsMissed