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Red70
29431.5
388229.3
68722.4
Blue74
114819.8
325529.3
940832.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95936070801001101201307074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
294
#11
31.51.3
30.729.4
Auto10.3
Teleop19.5
End1.7
blue by 1.0
9408
#22
32.51.0
31.830.8
Auto7.2
Teleop24.0
End1.4
Second
3882
#12
29.31.3
30.429.1
Auto9.8
Teleop17.8
End1.7
red by 0.1
3255
#23
29.31.0
29.728.7
Auto7.9
Teleop21.5
End-0.2
Third
687
#28
22.41.3
22.721.4
Auto9.6
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 2.7
1148
#24
19.81.0
23.922.9
Auto8.3
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
80%Melody oddsMissed48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
27%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed