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Red69
212232.6
432232.5
69628.6
Blue82
265926.0
704221.3
441526.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1037640601201401601806982

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.61.4
31.530.1
Auto8.4
Teleop22.4
End1.8
red by 6.0
4415
#16
26.60.7
25.926.6
Auto10.4
Teleop15.5
End0.7
Second
4322
#14
32.51.4
31.430.0
Auto8.0
Teleop21.5
End3.1
red by 6.5
2659
#21
26.00.7
24.224.9
Auto7.2
Teleop14.5
End4.3
Third
696
#4
28.61.4
27.025.6
Auto6.9
Teleop22.0
End-0.2
red by 7.4
7042
#27
21.30.7
21.422.1
Auto7.7
Teleop11.2
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
65%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed55%Ensemble oddsEarned