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Red70
945228.5
473836.2
715736.1
Blue140
441439.8
407921.2
441923.6
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116775010015070140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4738
#15
36.22.3
36.534.2
Auto12.6
Teleop21.1
End2.5
blue by 3.5
4414
#13
39.82.4
37.539.9
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
Second
36.12.3
37.735.4
Auto14.2
Teleop20.9
End1.0
red by 12.4
4419
#17
23.62.4
20.322.7
Auto6.9
Teleop15.3
End1.4
Third
9452
#29
28.52.3
26.624.2
Auto10.6
Teleop17.7
End0.2
red by 7.3
4079
#31
21.22.4
16.218.6
Auto6.3
Teleop14.9
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
54%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
35%Ensemble oddsMissed28%Ensemble oddsEarned