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Red107
49831.7
427621.4
699535.0
Blue102
414124.0
519940.3
330919.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94927080100110120130107102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.01.0
33.234.2
Auto11.8
Teleop20.6
End2.6
blue by 5.4
40.31.0
39.040.0
Auto9.8
Teleop25.9
End4.7
Second
498
#5
31.71.0
27.628.6
Auto5.1
Teleop25.9
End0.6
red by 7.6
4141
#33
24.01.0
24.925.9
Auto7.0
Teleop15.6
End1.4
Third
4276
#18
21.41.0
21.322.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.1
End1.7
red by 1.9
3309
#35
19.51.0
22.723.7
Auto7.0
Teleop11.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
71%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
21%Ensemble oddsEarned47%Ensemble oddsEarned