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Red97
441439.8
364726.4
265815.1
Blue61
325529.3
961517.2
927113.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93640501502009761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4414
#13
39.80.6
39.940.5
Auto14.0
Teleop21.6
End4.1
red by 10.5
3255
#23
29.30.2
28.728.5
Auto7.9
Teleop21.5
End-0.2
Second
26.40.6
25.726.3
Auto5.2
Teleop19.4
End1.7
red by 9.2
9615
#32
17.20.2
18.718.6
Auto8.1
Teleop8.4
End0.7
Third
2658
#40
15.10.6
15.416.0
Auto9.6
Teleop4.3
End1.2
red by 1.7
9271
#42
13.40.2
13.913.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
32%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed